Things are getting dicey for Auburn.
The Tigers have played themselves into the bubble conversation after a string of poor results, including losing five of seven. After losing to Kentucky by 32 over the weekend, Auburn heads to Alabama, who is looking to clinch the SEC regular season title on Wednesday night.
A road win of this caliber will ease any concerns of missing the NCAA Tournament, but another poor showing can lead to more questions around the Tigers.
Here are the odds for this big matchup in the SEC:
Auburn vs. Alabama odds, spread and total
Auburn vs. Alabama prediction and pick
While it may seem like the sky is falling for Auburn, they should be able to keep this one within single digits. The two teams met on February 11th in a competitive, back-and-forth battle, that Alabama won by eight in a game they closed as one-and-a-half point favorites. While the Crimson Tide have won three of four since then and the Tigers have split their four contests, I think this line is a bit of an overreaction to Auburn’s blowout loss at Kentucky.
War Eagle still boasts a top 20 defense that is top five at defending both mid-range jumpers and three-point shots. The team’s rim defense isn’t so bad either, 34th in the country. However, Alabama shot a staggering 82% on two’s in that game. I don’t see that type of efficiency being replicated, even at home.
The Crimson Tide have the best defense in the SEC, and Auburn must get good production from KD Johnson and Wendell Green against Alabama’s deep drop defense, but I simply think that this spread is over inflated against the close from a game a few weeks ago.
I think we are in for a competitive matchup on Wednesday night between two rivals.
Track all of Reed’s bets at Betstamp HERE!
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
