Golf makes its final cease earlier than The Masters with a visit to TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open and our PGA Tour professional picks are locked and loaded.
Recent off his win in Austin, Scottie Scheffler is the brand new No. 1-ranked participant on the earth, however he received’t be within the subject the week earlier than we head to The Masters as we go to TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open. We noticed Jordan Spieth win this occasion final yr and he’s within the subject once more, however he’s joined however a a lot stronger subject than typical with Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama, Bryson DeChambeau and a number of other different prime gamers getting tuned up for The Masters.
Earlier than we get into this week, although, we have to rapidly recap the carnage that was our picks for the WGC-Dell Applied sciences Match Play. Put merely, we missed throughout the board. Patrick Cantlay was horrible, Justin Thomas was lackluster, Matt Fitzpatrick couldn’t get previous the eventual champion and Brooks Koepka acquired clipped by a tricky knockout stage draw.
Alas, we transfer ahead and attempt to make our a refund. In order that’s the place our Valero Texas Open greatest bets and PGA Tour professional picks come into play.
Word: All odds are courtesy of WynnBet. For extra betting picks and recommendation, try BetSided.
PGA Tour professional picks for Valero Texas Open: Winner, Prime 10, One and Performed
One and Performed choose for Valero Texas Open: Maverick McNealy
What’s to not like about what Maverick McNealy is exhibiting us proper now? He hasn’t missed a reduce for the reason that Shriner’s in October and has been reeling off some good finishes. The truth is, he has 4 Prime 20 finishes since then, together with a T7 at The Genesis Invitational.
Frankly, I’m not seeking to burn an enormous title at TPC San Antonio as a result of that appears misguided from a One and Performed technique standpoint. However I like the mix of upside and ground that McNealy offers, particularly after exhibiting out extraordinarily effectively on the Match Play final week but in addition dropping in a playoff for the group levels, that means he didn’t get overworked enjoying an enormous variety of matches.
Prime 10 choose for Valero Texas Open: Chris Kirk
WynnBet has not launched the percentages for ending positions however you will discover Chris Kirk at round +275 consensus odds to complete within the prime 10 and I completely love that play this week in San Antonio.
Kirk has been on an absolute tear of late and has been a ball-striking dream with improved placing. He’s fourth on this subject during the last 50 rounds in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Inexperienced per spherical and his finishes again that up with two top-10s previous to the wonky week at THE PLAYERS. Furthermore, he has nice historical past at this occasion with two top-10s and three top-13 finishes since 2016. In his kind, this appears like large worth for this play.
Decide to Win Valero Texas Open: Hideki Matsuyama (+1800)
I’ve already seen a variety of individuals able to fade Hideki Matsuyama as a result of the final time we considered him, he was withdrawing from THE PLAYERS with a again harm. However main as much as his protection at The Masters, that’s actually not surprising or worrisome to me. He’s making an attempt to relaxation up and get wholesome and that makes excellent sense after enjoying fairly a bit in January-February.
Earlier than that WD, although, Matsuyama has been in nice kind with two wins already this season, which he achieved with a scorching putter and, extra notably, continued elite ball-striking. He can rating on Par-5s, a key element of contending at TPC San Antonio, has terrific wedge, sand and around-the-green play and the driving accuracy to be in nice spots. I like that he’s being slept on as a result of that’s the kind of event that he goes out and wins.
PGA Tour greatest bets for the Valero Texas Open
You possibly can try Iain MacMillan and I breaking down a few of our picks and greatest bets for the BetSided YouTube channel right here earlier than we get into the remainder of the picks.
Rory McIlroy to complete Prime 10
For the above video, I had Rory McIlroy as my Prime 5 choose however I’m going to go just a little extra conservative for the column and have him to complete the Prime 10. That’s clearly going to present you worse odds however you’re nonetheless going to be taking a look at plus cash and it appears like an ideal spot for the favourite to win on this subject.
To listen to the dialog about McIlroy proper now, you’d suppose he was lacking cuts routinely. The reality of the matter is, although, that he’s simply not profitable — however he’s contending. In his final eight begins worldwide, he has a win, three prime 10 finishes and 5 prime 15 finishes with no end worse than T33. He’s been excellent general and I like for him to be in that mode but once more.
Charley Hoffman to complete Prime 20
In case you have been unaware, this event is affectionately known as the Charley Hoffman Invitational by some as a result of the person simply dominates (relative to general efficiency) at this course. He’s BetSided’s Iain MacMillan’s Prime 10 choose this week and I’ll let him lay out the case as to why.
Charley Hoffman has had a tough season up to now, there’s little doubt about that.
However typically you simply must guess on a man who constantly does effectively at a course yr after yr. Relationship again to his debut on the event in 2010, he has 5 prime 5 finishes together with a win in 2016. He additionally has two eleventh place finishes and two thirteenth place finishes, and he’s completed second in back-to-back years. He’s an auto-bet at TPC San Antonio irrespective of his kind.
He’s an auto-bet for me as effectively, simply to a lesser diploma. The shape scares me sufficient to bump it all the way down to a Prime 20 end, however that may nonetheless web you round +300 in response to consensus odds, which feels each worthwhile and protected given his historical past right here.
Bryson DeChambeau to Miss the Reduce
Whereas WynnBet doesn’t usually give us odds for this, you will discover consensus odds ranging anyplace from +175 to north of +200 for Bryson DeChambeau to overlook the reduce and I’m hammering that this week.
DeChambeau returned from an injury-related hiatus on the Match Play final week and, frankly, didn’t look good. Some mentioned he appeared wholesome, however he’s nonetheless nursing some illnesses and the sport is simply nowhere near being good. Most significantly, his driver was otherworldly erratic in Austin, which is one thing that he and others pays a extreme penalty for this week. Throw in that his irons and wedges appeared extraordinarily rusty too and I’m fading him as a lot as doable as soon as once more this week.
Longshot choose to win: Tyler Duncan (+20000)
Tyler Duncan is a far cry from probably the most constant golfer on the PGA Tour however it is a participant who received the RSM Traditional again in 2019 and has proven that he can pop up now and again. And the one factor about when that occurs is you can often see it coming. We appear as if we might be trending that method but once more.
In his final two begins, Duncan completed T25 on the Valspar and T35 on the Puerto Rico Open. What’s higher, although, is that he’s been gaining strokes in each class along with his efficiency of late and putting the ball rather well from tee to inexperienced. Coming into kind, I just like the longshot worth however will in all probability additionally sprinkle one thing on him for a Prime 20 end this week as effectively.
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